Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.380295 11.859974 13.484418 15.401551 17.604223 20.058060 23.002289
2025-12-07 8.430428 10.376808 12.683223 15.623365 19.280113 23.689430 29.426448
2025-12-14 7.192159 9.329159 12.001704 15.600269 20.336399 26.380857 34.719016
2025-12-21 6.263871 8.480654 11.378045 15.458985 21.086714 28.615043 39.518385
2025-12-28 5.788158 8.136794 11.327925 16.004714 22.726319 32.101640 46.282730
2026-01-04 5.352308 7.780348 11.195525 16.381845 24.117600 35.321190 52.946208
2026-01-11 5.032442 7.543295 11.188856 16.909177 25.738630 38.979149 60.581569
2026-01-18 4.520191 6.964026 10.614623 16.513712 25.904204 40.435524 64.939258
2026-01-25 4.110994 6.498010 10.159769 16.242139 26.208844 42.094772 69.730265
2026-02-01 3.759119 6.086327 9.746518 15.985906 26.492877 43.714520 74.570954
2026-02-08 3.448440 5.711183 9.354725 15.719802 26.719262 45.232762 79.348685
2026-02-15 3.171698 5.366681 8.980826 15.443201 26.889033 46.647214 84.047291
2026-02-22 3.086089 5.340509 9.140411 16.103261 28.759423 51.197946 94.895279
2026-03-01 2.935773 5.189006 9.071583 16.352238 29.914665 54.576065 103.916075
2026-03-08 2.756258 4.969724 8.863873 16.327341 30.556687 57.058737 111.458355
2026-03-15 2.575490 4.732694 8.603769 16.179220 30.946149 59.088573 118.295039
2026-03-22 2.511461 4.705082 8.721821 16.751473 32.763350 64.005604 131.417373
2026-03-29 2.427543 4.632557 8.748846 17.146958 34.262346 68.421977 143.945698
2026-04-05 2.368480 4.602477 8.852741 17.699983 36.122184 73.721009 158.876910
2026-04-12 2.199350 4.343470 8.492429 17.285247 35.949850 74.815023 164.767852
2026-04-19 2.058801 4.130808 8.207378 17.000451 36.022185 76.421074 171.945166
2026-04-26 1.931154 3.934765 7.940930 16.731751 36.102728 78.044363 179.313088
2026-05-03 1.812328 3.748161 7.679943 16.452708 36.134191 79.556665 186.565036